When Will Interest Rates Go Down for Homes in 2024

To begin our exploration, it’s crucial to understand the current state of mortgage rates. According to a report by CBS News, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the US is currently at 7.83%. This high rate has left many potential homebuyers wondering When Will Interest Rates Go Down for Homes in 2024?

When Will Interest Rates Go Down for Homes in 2024
When Will Interest Rates Go Down for Homes in 2024

When Will Interest Rates Go Down for Homes Predictions by Experts

Mortgage Bankers Association’s Perspective

The Mortgage Bankers Association offers a glimpse of hope for those waiting for a rate drop. They expect the 30-year mortgage rate to fall to 6.1% by the end of 2024. While this isn’t a dramatic decrease, it’s a step in the right direction for aspiring homeowners.

Brian Shahwan’s Forecast

Brian Shahwan, the vice president and mortgage banker at William Raveis Mortgage, holds a similar view. He predicts that mortgage rates should begin a slow descent in early 2024. Shahwan foresees rates dropping to around 6.5% in the first quarter of 2024 and further to 5% in the fourth quarter.

It’s important to note that these predictions are not guarantees but rather informed estimates based on the current economic climate.

Projected interest rates in 5 years

The Fed Funds Rate is another critical factor influencing mortgage rates. The interest rate forecast by Trading Economics suggests that the Fed Funds Rate could reach 5.50% by the end of the current quarter.

However, the forecast anticipates a gradual decline to 3.75% in 2024 and further to 3.25% in 2025, according to econometric models.

ING’s Insights

ING, a prominent financial institution, also provides insights into interest rate predictions. They project that interest rates will remain at 5.50% in the second and third quarters of 2023.

In 2024, they foresee rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter, 3.5% in the third quarter, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Inflation Expectations

New Fed projections predict a rate of 5.6% for 2023, with a projected estimate of 5.1% for 2024. Looking further ahead, 2025 is expected to see a median rate of 3.9%, while the projection for 2026 stands at 2.9%.

According to experts polled by Trading Economics, US consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead fell for a fourth consecutive month to 3.5% in July. This represents a decrease from 3.8% in June.

When will mortgage rates go down to 3

Historically, when we look at the data provided by Freddie Mac over the past 50 years, mortgage rates have averaged around 7%.

]This historical perspective provides an important context for understanding the current and future trends in mortgage rates.

While experts and financial institutions are forecasting a decrease in mortgage rates in 2024, it’s important to temper expectations.

It is unlikely that we will see mortgage rates plummet to 3% during this year. Here’s why:

  1. Mortgage Bankers Association’s Forecast: The Mortgage Bankers Association, a reputable source in the industry, expects the 30-year mortgage rate to fall to 6.1% by the end of 2024.
  2. While this indicates a decline, it is still a considerable difference from the 3% benchmark.


The question, “When will interest rates go down for homes in 2024?” remains a topic of great interest and speculation. While there are promising predictions and forecasts, it’s essential to remain cautious and informed. The trajectory of interest rates is influenced by a multitude of economic factors, making precise predictions challenging. Aspiring homeowners should stay attuned to the latest developments and consult with financial experts to make well-informed decisions regarding their home purchases.


What influences the trajectory of mortgage rates?

Mortgage rates are influenced by various factors, including the Fed Funds Rate, inflation expectations, and the overall economic climate.

Should I wait until 2024 to buy a home to secure a lower interest rate?

Timing the housing market based solely on interest rates can be challenging. Consult with a financial advisor to make an informed decision.

Are there any guarantees that interest rates will go down in 2024?

No, these are predictions, and economic conditions can change. It’s important to remain informed and flexible in your approach.

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